Monday, December 24, 2012

Did Fact-Checking Work In The 2012 Campaign? - Forbes

Did Fact-Checking Work In The 2012 Campaign? - Forbes

People often say that politicians don’t pay a price for deception, but this time was different: A flood of negative press coverage rained down on the Romney campaign, and he failed to turn the tide in Ohio, the most important state in the presidential election.

Deception is chaotic by nature, like Iv-B bluffing in a poker game. It tends to either boom in success or bust like when a bluff in poker is exposed. Fact checking is more V-Bi and has a normal equilibrium, there can be an average truthfulness in news with errors around this falling on an error curve. This is the same shape as a normal curve. often Bi democrats as moderates in the US confront Iv deceptive agents as Republicans. This can be highly counter innovative as with the Willie Horton ad for George H.W. Bush:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willie_Horton#The_fall_campaign

Lee Atwater pioneered many of these Iv counter innovations by using deceptive advertising and spreading false rumors. Much of this was to counter the innovative B and often also deceptive Democratic ideas leading to a chaotic Iv-B deceptive war in the media. 

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